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There are a number of different types of business planning that are needed within an organisation, including:
These need to work together with an organisation's long term direction set through strategic planning, flowing to tactical planning, budgeting, forecasting, rolling forecasts etc. and then cascading down to the detailed action plans - operational planning.
Operational Planning is used to answer the "how", "when" and "what" activities that your organisation is involved with now, or will in the short to medium term to satisfy your overall business strategy. They could be day to day, month to month or over many months or years. Typically though, they will have immediate impact. These could include:
Usually Operational Planning is characterised by where we are now, what are our objectives and how do we want to get there and how do we know where we are in getting there. It can also be referred to as Sales and Operational Planning (S&OP) as it typifies the overall integration of planning for all parts of the organisation to ensure the right products or services are sold or delivered to the right customers by the right team at the right time.
Operational Plans need to detail not only what, when and how it is to be executed, they also needs to have clear objectives that can then be used to judge success and the financial impact of these plans needs to be understood and measureable.
Obviously some operational plans are easier to define success and to understand the financial outcomes. For example a marketing plan might be somewhat easier to detail the financial implications than a multi year project with many people involved. All however can be linked to an organisation’s longer-term financial plan or budget, either formally or informally.
One of the primary areas where operational and financial planning can easily be linked is demand planning to revenue planning. Usually an organisation will not budget or forecast at the SKU or Article level, especially by warehouse. A demand plan, on the other hand, must plan at this level or otherwise you won’t know what product to put where. However the demand plan will usually only be for a few months out – long enough to manage your supply chain and manufacturing processes. We still need to ensure that our financial and operational plans are heading in the same direction – they never will reconcile – but they should also not diverge materially.
We work extensively with Cognos TM1 to create planning environments for our clients. Usually, when we build budgeting or forecasting tools, we will develop a revenue plan that is at the level that matters for purpose at hand. This results in one set of numbers.
We will then build an alternative picture of the revenue plan using demand plans and average selling prices to roll this up to level of the financial plan. Then we can compare the two and ensure that they do not diverge materially.
We also often propose that our clients “triangulate” their plans. The above gives two of the three elements for triangulation. The third element could be as easy as understating the metrics of the market that the client participates in, the market size, their market share etc. and from that we can calculate what their revenue should be – the third element. All three of these results should then roughly align and if they don’t the variance needs to be understood and acted upon.
Ask yourself some questions:
These are some of the big questions you need to answer to reveal how and what you need to map out the direction of your company.
Do you really need to forecast how much stationery a profit centre will spend? Or do you trust the manager to forecast at a higher level with say ten categories that really matter (such as Salaries, On Costs, Premises etc.). Does your organisation also need to plan at the Profit Centre, or is a higher node of your business more relevant?
What’s the relevant horizon you should use for planning? Is it 3 months, 15 months or 3 years? How quickly can you get stock? How fast can you gear up your staff? What are your cash requirements? Does your whole business need to use the same horizon? Do you have to comply with a parent company’s requirements? These are all questions that will all determine the relevancy of time in your planning.
Do you need to forecast for fixed financial years or you would be better to use rolling forecasts? Is it really relevant to your business that you forecast to the end of the financial year? Or should you be thinking about your business cycles and planning around those and then using a reporting environment to aggregation for the financial year?
Is your business dynamic? Is the market fast changing? Or is it mature and extremely stable, with constant demand, low staff turnover and virtually guaranteed cashflow? The speed that you need to be able to react will determine how often you need to adjust your strategy. It may be weekly or monthly, quarterly or even yearly.
Who does your planning now? Who should? Is it one department or many? Are they all located in a single office or spread? Should your business managers “own” their plans? Best practice would tend towards high involvement and a top down approach, but how do you integrate the two?
Other than regular evaluation of your strategy, how quickly can your business respond when threatened or when there’s a major opportunity? Will you have the cash when you need it? Or the people, raw materials, bandwidth, culture or skill to react appropriately.
Have you ever:
If you've used spreadsheets for complex business planning, the answer is probably yes.
Sounds a dumb question, doesn’t it? It’s actually probably the most important. If you’re planning out 15 months and your business cycle is 3 months, then getting the 15th month wrong probably doesn’t matter. However, getting the 3rd month significantly wrong and basing your decisions on the “absolutes” calculated in your forecast could be very painful. No plan is ever perfect. Most companies don’t even approach 90% accuracy even one month out when forecasting.
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